TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks 30 markets covering the FIFA World Cup match between Argentina and Cabo Verde, including outcomes for both teams to score, total goals at various thresholds, goal spreads, and team-specific goal totals across first-half and second-half periods. Aggregated across Polymarket and Predict, the leading outcome—Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score—shows a consensus probability of 100.0%. Resolution will be based on official FIFA statistics published on fifa.com within 90 minutes of the match conclusion on July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, with credible reporting consensus serving as a backup if official data is unavailable.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET.
Polymarket and Predict may quote different odds on this matchup for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which influences how quickly prices converge. Polymarket emphasizes spread contracts, while Predict uses over/under totals, so the underlying mechanics and information sets differ. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary divergences persist due to slippage, withdrawal delays, and regional user preferences across venues.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts—that alter perceived match strength. Pre-match betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one side can shift odds significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates all influence trader positioning. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports coverage may drive retail volume spikes. As match day nears, late-breaking lineup confirmations and injury reports typically trigger the largest repricing, so monitor official team communications closely for edge.