TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.5b
24H VOL:
$202,688,956
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,692,168,434
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,734,437,429
480,371
Markets across
36,315
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,915
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether more or less than 0.5 goals will be scored in the second half of the Argentina vs. Burkina Faso FIFA International Friendly match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: 2nd Half O/U 0.5”. Resolution will be determined by the official result reported on https://www.fifa.com. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match on October 3 at 4:00 PM ET, as the second half scoring will determine the outcome of this market.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 3 at 4:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants on Polymarket and indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Argentina vs. Burkina Faso match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events might influence traders’ confidence and therefore the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in market sentiment.