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Argentina vs. Bolivia
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Argentina vs. Bolivia?

Total volume:
$3,445,449
Volume 24h:
$3,342,145
4,325%
Liquidity:
$307,903
5%
Open interest:
$2,169,348
6,275%

Argentina

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 1, 2026

Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Argentina

Trade
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$145,246
$250,667
4,184%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Argentina

Trade
99%
7%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$850,291
4,052%
185,472%
$564,087
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

ARG

Trade
99%
6%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$12,457
$184,852
528%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
99.3%
Yes 99.7¢No 0.7¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Bolivia

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,344,817
6,080%
N/A
$1,150,628
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

BOL

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$9,078
$28,407
165%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Bolivia

Trade
0%
2%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$100,689
$164,510
1,679%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
1%
5%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$557,110
12,911%
N/A
$454,633
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

Draw

Trade
1%
5%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$9,174
$24,062
1,683%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Draw (Argentina vs. Bolivia)

Trade
0%
5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.7¢
—
$31,259
$40,734
21,022%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.7%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Argentina will win its FIFA International Friendly match against Bolivia on September 30, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Argentina winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will be resolved using FIFA official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore and Sofascore. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 30, 2026, to see if Argentina secures the win as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match results within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent fallback sources and handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: FIFA official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore and Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Official match statistics from FIFA are the primary source for resolution.
  • If FIFA data is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used; if Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used.
  • If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets will resolve to 'No' on Polymarket and Predict, while the draw market on Polymarket will resolve to 'Yes'.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, ideally within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, but no later than 24 hours. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 30, 2026 between Argentina and Bolivia.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Argentina vs Bolivia professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for September 30, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Argentina wins for the Argentina market, Bolivia wins for the Bolivia market, or the match ends in a tie for the Tie market—all determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 30, 2026 between Argentina and Bolivia.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Argentina vs. Bolivia match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $3,445,449, with $3,325,994 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of what traders believe will happen, reflecting collective wisdom beyond any single source. The dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes as expressed through the prices on these prediction markets, offering a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on mainstream outcomes, while this market may reveal more nuanced probabilities.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Argentina vs. Bolivia match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and access to information, influencing their trading decisions. Trading volume can also be unevenly distributed between the two, causing price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific market mechanics and fee structures on each platform can impact price formation. These differences create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price gaps across venues to profit.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Argentina vs. Bolivia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, as determined by the official outcome of the match. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on publicly available information.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Argentina or Bolivia would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also influence the odds. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions, as reflected in media coverage, could drive trading activity. Any significant event impacting the perceived likelihood of either team winning will move the market.