TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 3:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns a FIFA World Cup match between two national teams scheduled for June 2026. The event focuses on whether both teams will each score at least one goal during the second half of their matchup.
If Argentina and Austria both score a goal in the 2nd Half of the Argentina vs Austria FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information across thousands of participants, often diverging meaningfully from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team form, injury reports, and historical matchups, this market prices in live trader sentiment and dynamic risk assessment. Comparing the odds here to published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that conventional analysis may have missed, making it a useful cross-check for understanding different perspectives on the second half outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective bids and asks of all active traders, with the spread between buy and sell prices tightening as liquidity increases. As match conditions evolve and new information emerges, traders adjust their positions, causing the odds to shift in real time to reflect updated expectations about whether both teams will score in the second half.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Argentina vs Austria match concludes and the second half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether both teams scored at least one goal each during the second half period. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official match records confirm the goal tally, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to key players, and first-half match dynamics that shape momentum heading into the second half. Tactical adjustments, substitutions, and the score at halftime will all influence trader expectations about both sides' ability to score. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and early second-half action can also trigger sharp repricing as traders react to live match developments and reassess the probability of both teams finding the net before the final whistle.