TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Argentina vs Austria: Score or Assist
kalshi

Argentina vs Austria: Score or Assist

Volume:
$634,290

Lionel Messi

 - Kalshi

Lionel Messi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 22, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 3:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lionel Messi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$456,452
N/A
N/A
$334,563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Facundo Medina

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,524
N/A
N/A
$14,608
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lautaro Martinez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,800
N/A
N/A
$33,377
Settled
No
kalshi

Julian Alvarez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,912
N/A
N/A
$21,955
Settled
No
kalshi

Enzo Fernandez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,963
N/A
N/A
$23,517
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexis Mac Allister

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,455
N/A
N/A
$21,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcel Sabitzer

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,218
N/A
N/A
$5,883
Settled
No
kalshi

Rodrigo De Paul

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,386
N/A
N/A
$5,288
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Gregoritsch

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,821
N/A
N/A
$3,715
Settled
No
kalshi

Thiago Almada

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,411
N/A
N/A
$2,247
Settled
No
kalshi

Paul Wanner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,852
N/A
N/A
$1,833
Settled
No
kalshi

Cristian Romero

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,627
N/A
N/A
$1,555
Settled
No
kalshi

Lisandro Martinez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,391
N/A
N/A
$1,343
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Danso

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,371
N/A
N/A
$1,319
Settled
No
kalshi

Romano Schmid

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,280
N/A
N/A
$1,254
Settled
No
kalshi

David Alaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$917
N/A
N/A
$893
Settled
No
kalshi

Xaver Schlager

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$896
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
No
kalshi

Konrad Laimer

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$783
Settled
No
kalshi

Nicolas Seiwald

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$528
N/A
N/A
$458
Settled
No
kalshi

Nahuel Molina

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
$391
Settled
No
kalshi

Stefan Posch

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$276
N/A
N/A
$276
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks whether selected Argentine and Austrian players record either a goal or an assist during the Argentina vs Austria FIFA World Cup match on June 22, 2026. Each player's market resolves based on their individual offensive contribution throughout the full match including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether a designated player records at least one goal or assist during the entire Argentina vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 22, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Settlement is based on official match records of goals scored and assists provided by the player. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles at the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined solely by their recorded goals and assists.

Frequently asked questions

The Argentina vs Austria goal prediction market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether a player will score or assist during this matchup. The interface displays current pricing, historical price movements, and $626,374 in 24-hour trading volume, giving traders a live snapshot of how the market is pricing the likelihood of individual goal contributions. This data helps bettors monitor shifting sentiment as the event approaches and compare their own expectations against the crowd's consensus.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure to outcomes. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports, so comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of market sentiment around goal-scoring opportunities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes on goal contributions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the probability of a goal or assist occurring. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by taking positions they believe are mispriced relative to the true likelihood of the event.

This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Argentina vs Austria match concludes and results are verified. The outcome is determined by official match records confirming which players scored or provided assists during the game. Resolution is based on credible public reporting from the match organizers and major sports data providers. Once verified, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts according to their positions.

Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before the match kicks off. Team news—such as injuries to key forwards or midfielders—can significantly alter scoring expectations. Lineup announcements and tactical changes announced by either coach will influence how traders assess goal-scoring probability. Pre-match analysis from sports media and expert commentary may sway sentiment. Closer to kickoff, betting patterns and sharp money flowing into the market can signal where informed traders see value, prompting price adjustments as the event draws near.