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Argentina vs Austria: Goalscorer
kalshi

Argentina vs Austria: Goalscorer

Volume:
$6,855,993

Lionel Messi: 1+

 - Kalshi

Lionel Messi: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 22, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 1:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lionel Messi: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,759,093
N/A
N/A
$2,107,472
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lionel Messi: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,143,411
N/A
N/A
$1,410,462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lionel Messi: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$930,531
N/A
N/A
$828,606
Settled
No
kalshi

Julian Alvarez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$248,832
N/A
N/A
$172,082
Settled
No
kalshi

Lautaro Martinez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$234,096
N/A
N/A
$186,755
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$82,795
N/A
N/A
$74,937
Settled
No
kalshi

Lautaro Martinez: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68,388
N/A
N/A
$63,555
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Gregoritsch: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67,829
N/A
N/A
$67,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Enzo Fernandez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,938
N/A
N/A
$53,669
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcel Sabitzer: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,906
N/A
N/A
$41,176
Settled
No
kalshi

Julian Alvarez: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,051
N/A
N/A
$35,068
Settled
No
kalshi

David Alaba: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,946
N/A
N/A
$20,851
Settled
No
kalshi

Lisandro Martinez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,916
N/A
N/A
$17,377
Settled
No
kalshi

Rodrigo De Paul: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,016
N/A
N/A
$15,780
Settled
No
kalshi

Thiago Almada: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,271
N/A
N/A
$13,966
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcel Sabitzer: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,758
N/A
N/A
$14,758
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Danso: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,484
N/A
N/A
$12,351
Settled
No
kalshi

Julian Alvarez: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,381
N/A
N/A
$7,038
Settled
No
kalshi

Lautaro Martinez: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,310
N/A
N/A
$7,124
Settled
No
kalshi

Nahuel Molina: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,960
N/A
N/A
$6,461
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Gonzalez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,858
N/A
N/A
$6,792
Settled
No
kalshi

Enzo Fernandez: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,482
N/A
N/A
$6,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Cristian Romero: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,936
N/A
N/A
$5,712
Settled
No
kalshi

Marko Arnautovic: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,914
N/A
N/A
$5,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexis Mac Allister: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,849
N/A
N/A
$5,849
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 42

Intro

This market tracks which Argentine and Austrian players will score goals during the FIFA World Cup match between Argentina and Austria. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Lionel Messi scoring 2 or more goals—stands at 21.0%, while Julian Alvarez scoring 1 or more goals is at 19.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records from the match scheduled for June 22, 2026. Watch for team lineups and injury reports closer to the June 22 match date, as these will significantly influence goal-scoring probabilities for each tracked player.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether a designated player records at least a specified number of goals during the entire Argentina vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 22, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Settlement is based on official match records of goals scored by the player. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles at the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined solely by the total number of goals recorded by that player.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Argentina vs Austria goalscorer market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for individual player goalscorer outcomes in this fixture. The interface displays current market prices, 24-hour trading volume, and order book depth, allowing traders to monitor how odds shift as match conditions and team news evolve. This dashboard provides a live snapshot of collective trader sentiment on which players are most likely to score, updated continuously throughout the trading window leading up to kickoff.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market typically shows tighter spreads and faster reaction to breaking news than traditional sportsbooks, since traders profit directly from accurate forecasts rather than from balanced action. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each player's probability of scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, with tighter bid-ask spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As new information emerges—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move in real time until the market closes at kickoff.

This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the final goalscorer is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official match result. Traders holding shares in the correct goalscorer receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Early resolution is not possible; the market remains open for trading until the scheduled end time, allowing participants to adjust positions right up until kickoff.

Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star forwards, and tactical formation changes disclosed by either coach. Weather conditions at the venue and recent form trends can also shift trader positioning. Late-breaking news about player availability or suspension status often triggers sharp price moves in the final hours before kickoff. Additionally, if one team is eliminated from tournament contention or faces unexpected pressure, motivation shifts may alter scoring patterns and reshape odds across all player outcomes.