TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match between two national teams scheduled for June 16, 2026, where the combined goal total during the first half determines the outcome across multiple thresholds.
Resolution is based on the combined goal total scored by both teams during the first half (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of the Argentina vs Algeria FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 16, 2026. Only goals scored during the first half count toward resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus and often incorporate recent team form, injury reports, and tactical analysis faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may publish pregame predictions based on historical data and expert opinion, prediction markets aggregate live information from many participants with financial incentives to be accurate. Comparing the two can reveal where the market sees value or where expert analysis diverges from crowd sentiment on first-half scoring expectations.
On Kalshi, the Argentina vs Algeria first-half total is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of a specific outcome occurring during the first 45 minutes of play. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the market's implied probability. As new information emerges—team lineups, weather, or early match developments—the price adjusts to reflect updated expectations about first-half goal totals.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury announcements, which affect attacking and defensive capability. Early match momentum, weather conditions on match day, and referee tendencies can all influence first-half scoring patterns. Tactical adjustments by either coach, unexpected early goals, or red cards would shift market expectations significantly. Pre-match news about player fitness, recent form, and head-to-head history will also drive price movement as traders reassess the likelihood of different goal-total outcomes.