TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether any player from Argentina's national football squad will score at least one goal during the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup. The market encompasses a range of players from various positions including forwards, midfielders, and defenders who could potentially contribute goals for the team.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player scores a goal during the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, with goals counted during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time. Goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count. If a player does not enter a game during the tournament, their market resolves to No. This market has not been endorsed by FIFA.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus and often diverge from traditional sports analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on historical statistics, team form, and tactical analysis, prediction markets incorporate live information, injury updates, and collective trader conviction. Markets tend to react faster to breaking news—such as lineup changes or player fitness concerns—than published analyst reports. Comparing Kalshi odds to expert predictions and statistical models can reveal where the crowd may be overvaluing or undervaluing specific Argentina goalscorers, offering traders an edge in identifying mispriced outcomes.
Argentina: Goalscorers contracts on Kalshi are priced as binary outcomes reflecting the probability that specific players will score during designated matches. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe a goalscorer is undervalued, or sell at higher prices if they expect the probability to fall. Kalshi's order book aggregates buy and sell interest, and the last traded price serves as the market consensus. As match day approaches and new information emerges, prices adjust dynamically to reflect updated expectations about Argentina's lineup and scoring threats.
Key catalysts for Argentina: Goalscorers odds include player injuries, suspension announcements, and official team lineup releases. Tactical shifts—such as formation changes or a manager's decision to rest key strikers—can significantly alter scoring probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head matchups, and opponent defensive strength also influence prices. International breaks, friendly matches, and competitive fixture congestion affect player fitness and availability. Media reports on contract disputes, transfer news, or internal team dynamics may shift trader sentiment. Real-time updates during matches themselves—early goals, red cards, or substitutions—create volatility in pre-match and live-trading periods.