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Argentina: First Goalscorer
kalshi

Argentina: First Goalscorer

Volume:
$3,272

Lionel Messi

 - Kalshi

Lionel Messi - Kalshi

1W

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Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 9:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lionel Messi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,233
N/A
N/A
$3,233
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goalscorer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
kalshi

Nicolas Otamendi

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nicolas Tagliafico

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rodrigo De Paul

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leandro Paredes

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Giovani Lo Celso

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Exequiel Palacios

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gonzalo Montiel

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lautaro Martinez

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cristian Romero

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nahuel Molina

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Facundo Medina

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lisandro Martinez

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexis Mac Allister

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Gonzalez

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leonardo Balerdi

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thiago Almada

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Julian Alvarez

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Enzo Fernandez

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Flaco Lopez

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Valentin Barco

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Giuliano Simeone

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Paz

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

During the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, this event concerns which player will score the first goal for Argentina (excluding own goals).

Kalshi

The first goal scored by Argentina during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup determines the market outcome, with each player outcome resolving Yes if they score that first goal and No otherwise. Own goals are excluded from consideration; if the first goal credited to the country is an own goal, resolution is based on the next goal that is not an own goal. If no player from the country scores a goal during the tournament, the No Goalscorer outcome resolves Yes. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time are all included in the determination. Goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count toward this market. All players who do not score the first qualifying goal resolve to No regardless of whether they participated in any match.

Frequently asked questions

The Argentina: First Goalscorer dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and probability estimates for which player will score first in the designated Argentina match. The dashboard displays current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $3,272 to help you monitor how prediction market participants are pricing each potential first goalscorer. This live data reflects the collective expectations of traders and provides transparency into which outcomes the market favors most heavily at any given moment.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and sports media predictions because markets aggregate real-time information from many traders with financial incentives to be accurate. While analysts may rely on recent form, injury reports, and tactical analysis, prediction markets incorporate those signals plus trader conviction and betting patterns. Comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions and statistical models can reveal where the market consensus differs from conventional wisdom, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued first goalscorer candidates.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Argentina: First Goalscorer contracts are priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a one percent probability of that outcome occurring. Traders buy and sell contracts based on their belief in whether a specific player will score first, with prices reflecting the collective market assessment of likelihood. Higher-priced contracts indicate stronger market confidence in that player scoring first, while lower prices suggest lower perceived probability. The continuous order book allows traders to enter and exit positions throughout the event window until resolution.

Several factors can shift Argentina: First Goalscorer odds before the match. Injury announcements or lineup changes affecting key forwards will reprice their chances immediately. Team news, tactical adjustments, or coaching decisions released closer to kickoff can alter expected starting formations. Opponent strength and defensive capabilities influence perceived scoring difficulty. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent player form updates may also trigger price movement. Real-time betting activity and sharp money flowing toward or away from particular players can signal new information and drive significant odds adjustments in the final hours before the match begins.