TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 12:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Argentina and Switzerland (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 12, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Argentina and Switzerland (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 12, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book mechanics where traders submit bids and asks to establish the current odds. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregate willingness of participants to buy or sell shares at any given moment. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or historical card data—traders adjust their positions, causing the odds to shift. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new signals, with deeper order books typically enabling tighter spreads and faster price discovery.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the Argentina-Switzerland match concludes and the final card count is verified. The outcome is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regulation and extra time. The result will be confirmed against credible public reporting from official match records. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once verification is complete and the market is settled by the platform.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Team lineups and injury announcements may alter playing style or aggression levels. Historical head-to-head data, recent disciplinary records, and referee assignment can influence expected card counts. Pre-match news coverage and analyst commentary often trigger trader repositioning. Close to kickoff, weather conditions and late-breaking tactical changes may prompt final repricing. During the match itself, early cards, player ejections, or visible referee patterns will drive sharp moves as traders react to unfolding events and update their probability estimates.