TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 12:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the first-half goal difference between the two teams. Outcomes are determined by whether Ararat-Armenia or NK Celje secures a first-half lead exceeding a specified margin.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential during the first half of the Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje professional Champions League soccer game scheduled for August 4, 2026. One market resolves to Yes if Ararat-Armenia wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals, and another resolves to Yes if NK Celje achieves the same margin. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Only goals scored during the first half count towards these markets. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through their bets, which determines the implied probability for each possible spread outcome in the first half. The current top outcome reflects the collective judgment of participants about which team is more likely to win or lose by a certain margin before halftime. Volume and recent trades influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score at the end of the first half will be compared against the listed spread options to determine which contracts are settled as winning or losing. No further verification beyond publicly available match results is required.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical decisions by coaches can all shift expectations for the first half score and move this market. Additionally, any significant betting trends or large trades on Kalshi may cause price adjustments. News about team performance in recent matches or changes in starting lineups could also influence trader sentiment and market movement as the event nears.