TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Appalachian State and NC State. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to determine the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Appalachian St. vs NC St. college football game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins that quarter by more than the stated point margin (e.g., over 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, etc.). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable valuation of all outcomes at that point in time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs. If sportsbook odds indicate a strong favorite, but volume in this market is distributed more evenly, it could suggest disagreement with the sportsbook's assessment. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and attract different types of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 3rd quarter spread in the Appalachian St. vs NC St. game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Appalachian St. vs NC St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine whether the actual spread falls above or below the specified threshold, and payouts will be made accordingly to contract holders. The final spread will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Appalachian St. or NC St. teams could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment reflected in other sources, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.