TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Appalachian State and NC State specifically during the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the Appalachian St. vs NC St. college football game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. For any market, if the designated team wins the quarter by exceeding the specified point margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The operator disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks will often arrive at similar probabilities for an event’s outcome, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and a desire to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals trading on Kalshi. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a significant amount of volume is traded, as the prediction market can incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 2nd quarter spread between Appalachian St. and NC St. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of the spread falling within a certain range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and exchange contracts, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of the spread versus the payout if that side wins.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread between Appalachian St. and NC St. is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the side that correctly predicted the spread, and 0 for the other side. Traders who held contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment and impact the price. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts might also play a role. As the game approaches, real-time updates during the first half, such as early scoring drives or key defensive stops, will likely cause rapid adjustments in the market price as traders react to the unfolding events.