TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 5:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Australia Cup game between APIA Leichhardt FC and Peninsula Power FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Peninsula Power FC match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Australia Cup game between APIA Leichhardt FC and Peninsula Power FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Peninsula Power FC match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating built-in margins. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery, sometimes reflecting sharper or more current information. This market's odds may move faster in response to team news, injuries, or form changes than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs from bookmaker pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares, and the price of each share reflects its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its price rises and others adjust downward, creating a dynamic equilibrium. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as liquidity increases, rewarding early traders and those with strong conviction. All pricing is transparent and updated in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any moment before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the match between APIA Leichhardt and Peninsula Power is complete and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of regulation time. Traders holding shares in the correct final scoreline receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the result is confirmed, ensuring a fair and transparent settlement process for all participants.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes that affect squad depth or tactical setup. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can shift trader expectations. Weather conditions on match day may influence playing style and scoring patterns. Close to kickoff, late-breaking injury reports or unexpected team selections often trigger sharp repricing. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will cause rapid adjustments as traders update their probability estimates in real time based on live events.