TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 11:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if any team is eliminated from Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 without winning any map in the tournament, as shown on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, “without winning a single map” means the team must lose every map it actually plays in Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 before being eliminated. A team that wins at least one map will not count, even if it is later eliminated from the tournament. Walkovers or forfeits will not count as map wins, but they will not disqualify a team that otherwise loses every map it actually plays and is eliminated. Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is currently scheduled for July 15–18, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 event page: https://www.hltv.org/events/9173/stake-ranked-episode-3 If Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is canceled before it starts, this market will resolve to "NO." If Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation, postponement, or rescheduling. If the relevant HLTV match or map statistics for Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 are not available by August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if any team is eliminated from Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 without winning any map in the tournament, as shown on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, “without winning a single map” means the team must lose every map it actually plays in Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 before being eliminated. A team that wins at least one map will not count, even if it is later eliminated from the tournament. Walkovers or forfeits will not count as map wins, but they will not disqualify a team that otherwise loses every map it actually plays and is eliminated. Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is currently scheduled for July 15–18, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 event page: https://www.hltv.org/events/9173/stake-ranked-episode-3 If Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is canceled before it starts, this market will resolve to "NO." If Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation, postponement, or rescheduling. If the relevant HLTV match or map statistics for Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 are not available by August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders betting real money on whether a team will be eliminated winless may incorporate deeper analysis of roster depth, map pool vulnerabilities, or playoff bracket dynamics than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and informed prediction markets disagree.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds directly by placing bids and asks. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the depth of pending orders at each probability level. As new information emerges—such as team roster changes, injury reports, or early match results—traders adjust their positions, and the price moves to reflect updated expectations about whether any team will exit winless.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the tournament structure and final eliminations are confirmed. The outcome is determined by whether at least one team is eliminated from competition without winning a single map throughout their run. Resolution is verified against credible public reporting of official match results and tournament standings, ensuring accuracy and transparency for all traders.
Key catalysts include early-round match results that establish which teams are struggling on specific maps, roster announcements or substitutions that affect team strength, and bracket progression that narrows the field. Dominant performances by strong teams reduce the probability of a winless elimination, while upsets and competitive matches increase it. Injury news, coaching changes, or surprise map bans can also shift trader positioning. As the tournament progresses and more teams are eliminated, the remaining pool shrinks, making a winless exit either more or less likely depending on which teams remain.