TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 7:59 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if any Natus Vincere (NAVI) player records at least 25 kills in a single game during The International 2026: Europe Regional Qualifier, as shown on Dotabuff. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Primary resolution source: Dotabuff: https://www.dotabuff.com/ Once the qualifier is listed on Dotabuff, open its league page and find the relevant NAVI series under “Recent Series.” Click the numbered game icon for any game played in the series to open the individual match page. Each player’s kill total is shown in the “K” column of the match statistics table. All 25 or more kills must be recorded in a single game; kills from separate games cannot be combined. If the Europe Regional Qualifier is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve based on Dotabuff information available at the time of cancellation/postponement. If Dotabuff is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if any Natus Vincere (NAVI) player records at least 25 kills in a single game during The International 2026: Europe Regional Qualifier, as shown on Dotabuff. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Primary resolution source: Dotabuff: https://www.dotabuff.com/ Once the qualifier is listed on Dotabuff, open its league page and find the relevant NAVI series under “Recent Series.” Click the numbered game icon for any game played in the series to open the individual match page. Each player’s kill total is shown in the “K” column of the match statistics table. All 25 or more kills must be recorded in a single game; kills from separate games cannot be combined. If the Europe Regional Qualifier is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve based on Dotabuff information available at the time of cancellation/postponement. If Dotabuff is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate on distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust them to balance their book. Prediction markets, by contrast, derive odds from real-time trader consensus—the aggregate belief of participants willing to stake capital. This market reflects what traders on Limitless collectively believe about the likelihood of a NAVI player hitting 25 kills. While sportsbooks may not offer this specific prop, comparing prediction odds to analyst forecasts or historical performance benchmarks can help you gauge whether the market price represents good value.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the real-time probability. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders who believe a NAVI player will exceed 25 kills buy YES contracts, while those skeptical sell them short. The equilibrium price reflects the marginal trader's conviction at any moment. As new match results, roster changes, or performance data surface, traders adjust their positions, causing the odds to shift. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market continuously incorporates fresh information about team composition, opponent strength, and individual player form.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether any player on NAVI's roster achieves 25 or more kills in a single competitive match during the relevant window. Match statistics from official tournament broadcasts, league databases, or verified esports news sources will be used to determine the final result. Once the threshold is met or the deadline passes without such a performance, the market will settle accordingly and traders will receive their payouts.
Several catalysts could shift odds on this market significantly. Roster changes—such as a star player joining or leaving NAVI—would alter expectations around individual kill potential. Tournament announcements or match schedules that determine which opponents the team faces will influence perceived difficulty. Live match results showing strong or weak individual performances by NAVI players will drive immediate repricing. Meta shifts in the game itself, patch updates affecting weapon balance, or coaching changes can all reshape how traders assess the likelihood of a 25-kill performance. Close matches approaching the threshold will generate volatility as traders reassess the probability near resolution.