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Any Island Nation to Win their Group
kalshi

Any Island Nation to Win their Group

Volume:
$6,772

Any island nation to win their group

 - Kalshi

Any island nation to win their group - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Any island nation to win their group

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,772
N/A
N/A
$6,332
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether an island nation will finish first in their group during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Group Stage. On Kalshi, the probability of at least one island nation topping their group stands at 41.0%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records of the Group Stage results. Watch for the completion of all group matches by June 28, 2026, when final group standings will be confirmed and the market will settle.

Kalshi

If any island nation wins their group in the Group Stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup concludes. Resolution is determined by whether any island nation finishes first in their assigned group. Island nations competing in the tournament include Iceland, Jamaica, and others depending on final qualification. The outcome is objective and verifiable from official FIFA records once all group matches are complete. Early resolution may occur if the outcome becomes mathematically certain before the final group matches are played.

Key catalysts include qualifying match results that strengthen or weaken island nations' group positions, injuries to star players, coaching changes, and head-to-head outcomes against traditional powerhouses. Performance in warm-up friendlies leading into the tournament can shift trader sentiment. Draw announcements revealing group compositions and seeding will significantly impact odds. As the tournament approaches, updated team rosters and fitness reports on key island-nation players will influence market pricing. Live group-stage matches will create the most dramatic price swings as results determine which nations can still mathematically win their groups.