TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 12:47 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether at least one host nation will finish first in their group during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. The leading outcome currently stands at 85.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records of the group stage results. Watch the group stage matches through June 28, 2026, when final group standings will be confirmed and the market will settle based on whether any host nation topped their bracket.
If any host nation wins their group in the Group Stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Key catalysts include qualifying results and tournament draws that reveal group composition and opponent strength. Team roster announcements, coaching changes, and injury updates for the United States, Mexico, and Canada will shift trader expectations. Pre-tournament friendlies and form heading into June 2026 provide real-time signals. Major geopolitical or logistical developments affecting the tournament could also influence odds. As the group stage begins, early match results will drive sharp repricing. Traders should track odds movements on Kalshi closely, as large volume spikes often precede significant probability shifts.