TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Any Host Nation to Win their Group
kalshi

Any Host Nation to Win their Group

Volume:
$34,457

Any host nation to win their group

 - Kalshi

Any host nation to win their group - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 12:47 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Any host nation to win their group

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,457
N/A
N/A
$13,515
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether at least one host nation will finish first in their group during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. The leading outcome currently stands at 85.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records of the group stage results. Watch the group stage matches through June 28, 2026, when final group standings will be confirmed and the market will settle based on whether any host nation topped their bracket.

Kalshi

If any host nation wins their group in the Group Stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup concludes. Resolution hinges on whether at least one nation hosting the tournament finishes first in its group. The 2026 World Cup will be co-hosted by the United States, Mexico, and Canada, so the outcome depends on whether any of these three nations tops their respective group. Official FIFA records and final group standings determine the result. Traders should monitor group assignments, team form, and injury updates as the tournament approaches.

Key catalysts include qualifying results and tournament draws that reveal group composition and opponent strength. Team roster announcements, coaching changes, and injury updates for the United States, Mexico, and Canada will shift trader expectations. Pre-tournament friendlies and form heading into June 2026 provide real-time signals. Major geopolitical or logistical developments affecting the tournament could also influence odds. As the group stage begins, early match results will drive sharp repricing. Traders should track odds movements on Kalshi closely, as large volume spikes often precede significant probability shifts.