TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Any African Nation to Win their Group
kalshi

Any African Nation to Win their Group

Volume:
$36,266

Any African nation to win their group

 - Kalshi

Any African nation to win their group - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 12:59 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Any African nation to win their group

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,266
N/A
N/A
$17,404
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether at least one African nation will finish first in their group during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup group stage. Currently, the probability stands at 63.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records once the group stage concludes. Watch the composition of the groups when they are drawn to assess which African nations face the most favorable matchups for topping their respective groups by June 28, 2026.

Kalshi

If any African nation wins their group in the Group Stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether any African nation will win their group at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. It displays the current probability estimate, historical price movements, and liquidity metrics including total group volume of $36,266 and 24-hour volume of $3,550. Traders use this data to monitor how market sentiment evolves as qualification results, team form, and tournament draw details emerge. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect new trades and information flow.

The market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final standings of all eight groups. The market settles to YES if at least one African nation finishes in first place in their respective group; it settles to NO if no African nation tops any group. Official FIFA records and tournament results are the authoritative source for determining which nations won their groups.

Key catalysts include World Cup qualifying results that confirm or eliminate African nations' tournament participation, official group draw announcements that determine which African teams face which opponents, recent form and injury updates for major African squads, and betting market shifts reflecting analyst consensus. Friendly matches and continental competitions like the Africa Cup of Nations provide performance signals. As the tournament approaches, each group-stage match result will directly impact the probability, with African teams' victories or defeats against co-group members moving odds significantly. Transfer news and coaching changes for African national teams may also influence trader sentiment.