TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 2:11 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between Antigua GFC and CD Marquense, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Antigua GFC" if Antigua GFC score more goals than CD Marquense in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Antigua GFC and CD Marquense score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Marquense" if CD Marquense score more goals than Antigua GFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between Antigua GFC and CD Marquense, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Antigua GFC" if Antigua GFC score more goals than CD Marquense in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Antigua GFC and CD Marquense score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Marquense" if CD Marquense score more goals than Antigua GFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and real-money commitment. Prediction markets can sometimes price outcomes more efficiently because traders face direct financial consequences for inaccuracy. However, sportsbooks benefit from professional oddsmakers and sharp action. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative belief of all participants; as more traders buy one outcome, its probability rises and the opposing outcome falls. Liquidity pools determine how much slippage you experience on larger trades. The system incentivizes early traders to take contrarian positions when they believe the market is mispriced, gradually pulling prices toward true consensus. Fees are deducted from trades, so factor those into your entry and exit calculations.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second-half result of the match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half only; the first-half score is irrelevant to this market's settlement. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule and any postponements or rescheduling announcements, as these could delay resolution. Once verified, the market locks and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, especially if key players are ruled out. Weather conditions and venue factors may influence second-half performance and fatigue levels. Sportsbook line movement often precedes prediction market moves, so monitoring external betting action can signal incoming repricing. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or tipsters may trigger trader repositioning. Early match events, such as a first-half goal or red card, typically cause sharp repricing as traders update their second-half expectations. Live betting sentiment and real-time commentary can also accelerate price swings as new information emerges.