TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting whether Anthony Wint or Terrance Chatman will secure a victory in a specific round of their upcoming UFC Fight Night bout. The outcome depends on the exact round in which a knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification occurs for either fighter.
The market resolves based on the specific round in which either Anthony Wint or Terrance Chatman achieves a win via knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification (DQ). If the fight ends in a decision, draw, or no contest, it resolves to the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome and does not count as a win in any round. Technical decisions are treated as decisions and do not count toward round-specific wins. Each market corresponds to a different round (Round 1, Round 2, or Round 3) for each fighter, with separate conditions for each scenario.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s current chance reflected in its market-maker odds. The platform uses a balanced order book to determine the best available prices, adjusting dynamically as new trades execute. This mechanism allows rapid price discovery based on real-time trader sentiment and available information, capturing nuanced expectations for each possible round outcome. The resulting odds represent the collective wisdom of participants betting specifically on this event’s timing.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact round of victory is determined by the official fight result, which traders can track through live broadcasts and post-fight announcements.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight press conferences, training updates, injury reports, and betting volume spikes. Any development affecting fighter readiness, strategy changes, or psychological momentum may cause traders to reassess round probabilities. Media coverage highlighting tactical advantages or past performance trends can also influence sentiment. As Aug 23, 2026 approaches, real-time betting activity and last-minute news will most strongly drive price movements, reflecting the evolving outlook for how many rounds the fight might last.