TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Antalyaspor and Van, focusing on determining whether Antalyaspor wins, Van wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, the markets will be resolved fairly according to predefined guidelines.
The event determines the winner of the Antalyaspor vs Van professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for September 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Antalyaspor win, Van win, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will be resolved at a fair price in accordance with the event rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the result within regular time, with no consideration for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and exchange contracts, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, giving you insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Antalyaspor vs Van match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Antalyaspor or Van could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, driven by social media or expert analysis, can impact trading activity and cause the market price to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.