TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Super Lig soccer match between Antalyaspor and Fenerbahçe SK scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Antalyaspor win, draw, or Fenerbahçe SK win, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how a full match cancellation (with no make-up game) resolves. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, leaving the outcome ambiguous.Hero Tip:
Verify cancellation likelihood under Turkish Super Lig rules before trading. If cancellation is possible, Polymarket's draw market becomes a partial hedge against cancellation (resolves Yes), while win markets do not (resolve No). Kalshi traders face resolution uncertainty in a cancellation scenario and should seek clarification from the platform before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Antalyaspor Win (Yes if Antalyaspor wins, No otherwise including cancellation), Draw (Yes if draw, Yes if canceled with no make-up, No otherwise), Fenerbahçe Win (Yes if Fenerbahçe wins, No otherwise including cancellation). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).Kalshi:
Three outcome-specific markets: Tie (Yes if tie after 90+stoppage), Antalyaspor (Yes if Antalyaspor wins after 90+stoppage), Fenerbahce (Yes if Fenerbahce wins after 90+stoppage). Cancellation scenario is not explicitly addressed. Key quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)' — no mention of cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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