TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 9:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rositsa Dencheva and Maria Lourdes Carle in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rositsa Dencheva' if Rositsa Dencheva advances against Maria Lourdes Carle. This market will resolve to 'Maria Lourdes Carle' if Maria Lourdes Carle advances against Rositsa Dencheva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rositsa Dencheva and Maria Lourdes Carle in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rositsa Dencheva' if Rositsa Dencheva advances against Maria Lourdes Carle. This market will resolve to 'Maria Lourdes Carle' if Maria Lourdes Carle advances against Rositsa Dencheva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by actual money being wagered. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that belief by trading in this market, causing the odds to shift. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments between the two types of markets. It's important to consider both when evaluating potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the market’s implied probability for a specific result in the Dencheva vs Carle match.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dencheva vs Carle match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The market will then close, and all outstanding shares will be settled.
Several signals or events could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Dencheva or Carle could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in related matches or tournaments might also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Even seemingly minor developments, such as weather conditions or venue changes, could introduce uncertainty and lead to market movement before Sep 18, 2026.