TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$82,400

Maja Chwalinska

 - Kalshi

Maja Chwalinska - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 6:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maja Chwalinska

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,929
N/A
N/A
$17,451
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anna Kalinskaya

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,471
N/A
N/A
$35,079
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

Two professional tennis players compete in a quarterfinal match at the French Open, with focus on the outcome of the first set of their match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds less frequently and build in a vigorish, while prediction markets update instantly as new information emerges. For the Kalinskaya versus Chwalinska set one outcome, comparing Kalshi pricing to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. These differences often signal where smart money sees value.

Key catalysts include recent head-to-head records, surface preference (clay, hard court, or grass), player injury reports, and pre-match practice performance. Weather conditions on match day—heat, humidity, wind—can favor one player's style over the other. Ranking changes, recent tournament results, and player momentum shifts will influence trader positioning. Court assignments and match timing may also matter; playing early or late in the day affects fatigue and conditions. Any official announcements about player fitness or match logistics could trigger sharp repricing on Kalshi as the event date approaches.