TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 12:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Vogt and Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the Ankara, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Elena Ruxandra Bertea. This market will resolve to 'Elena Ruxandra Bertea' if Elena Ruxandra Bertea advances against Marie Vogt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Vogt and Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the Ankara, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Elena Ruxandra Bertea. This market will resolve to 'Elena Ruxandra Bertea' if Elena Ruxandra Bertea advances against Marie Vogt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding an event. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd thinks sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the likelihood of a particular result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Vogt vs Bertea match, and the market’s overall volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in the predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marie Vogt versus Elena Ruxandra Bertea match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Sep 29, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also trigger price movements. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts may also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential shifts in the market.