TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliona Falei and Fangran Tian in the Ankara, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliona Falei' if Aliona Falei advances against Fangran Tian. This market will resolve to 'Fangran Tian' if Fangran Tian advances against Aliona Falei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliona Falei and Fangran Tian in the Ankara, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliona Falei' if Aliona Falei advances against Fangran Tian. This market will resolve to 'Fangran Tian' if Fangran Tian advances against Aliona Falei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money bets and evolving information. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can provide valuable insights, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting and has its own strengths and weaknesses. Analyzing these differences can inform your own assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these shares will adjust, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing means the market is constantly updating its forecast based on the collective intelligence of its users. The current top outcome is unavailable, and the chance percentage is unavailable.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aliona Falei vs Fangran Tian match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could influence trader sentiment. Public announcements about the players’ physical condition or training regimes would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive trading activity and impact the market price. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader tournament dynamics could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities and move this market.