TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Angola vs. Mali
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Angola vs Mali?

Volume:
$54,033

Angola

 - Kalshi

Angola - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 4:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Angola

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,324
N/A
N/A
$19,002
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Angola vs. Mali

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mali

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,382
N/A
N/A
$15,366
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Angola and Mali scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether Angola or Mali will win this professional matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both Angola winning and Mali winning resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria are broken — both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no valid No outcome. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be preferred.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive paths: Angola win resolves to Angola, Mali win resolves to Mali. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution determined by final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: 'If Mali wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Angola wins...resolves to Yes'. Both possible game outcomes are mapped to identical Yes resolution, leaving no logical path for No and making the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 5 at 2:00PM ET: If the Angola win, the market will resolve to "Angola". If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the winner of the Mali vs Angola professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates trader sentiment on the Angola vs. Mali football match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading prediction platforms. This unified dashboard displays real-time odds, trading volume, and consensus forecasts from both venues, allowing you to compare how different market communities price the same event. By tracking cross-platform activity, you gain insight into whether one platform's traders lean more bullish or bearish than the other, and whether broader consensus is shifting as match day approaches.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities, especially if one venue has moved more aggressively than the other in response to team news or betting patterns.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also enforce slightly different rules around trading halts or order types. Additionally, traders on one platform may react faster to breaking news than those on the other, creating temporary spreads. Monitoring both venues helps you spot arbitrage opportunities and understand which community is more confident in a particular outcome.

Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports, recent head-to-head records, and qualifying performance. Weather conditions at match time, referee assignments, and late-breaking tactical changes can also shift trader conviction. Broader context—such as continental tournament standings or playoff implications—may influence how much each side is willing to risk. Monitor official team social media, sports news outlets, and betting market activity for early signals; sharp traders often react to these developments before casual observers, creating price momentum.