TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 500K
- Kalshi
Above 500K - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 27, 2026
Closed: Sep 27, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of the song "Angel" by Lizzy McAlpine during a specific week, focusing on how many times it is streamed in the U.S. The outcome depends on whether the stream count surpasses various thresholds, providing insight into the song's popularity over that period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple streaming thresholds for the song "Angel" by Lizzy McAlpine during the week of September 18 to September 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different stream count benchmark, ranging from 50,000 to 10 million streams. For any given market, if the song achieves the specified number of streams or more during the tracking week, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All outcomes are determined by data reported by Luminate’s API at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate serves as a neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse the markets. The event is exclusive to U.S. streaming data.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional media predictions. While analysts may focus on pre-release hype or established viewership patterns, the market incorporates a wider range of information and adapts quickly to new data. This can lead to discrepancies, with the market potentially anticipating outcomes that diverge from initial expert expectations regarding Angel’s streaming performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and efficient forecast. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders on Kalshi regarding the streaming numbers for Angel.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official streaming data for Angel’s first week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of streams achieved during that initial period, as reported by the official source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted outcome aligned with the verified results. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Early viewership numbers released during the first few days of streaming would be a major catalyst. Any significant marketing pushes or promotional activities surrounding Angel could also impact expectations. Furthermore, critical reception and social media buzz surrounding the show will likely influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding the show’s availability or distribution could also lead to shifts in the market’s pricing, as traders adjust their predictions.
