TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 5K
- Kalshi
Above 5K - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 27, 2026
Closed: Sep 27, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of Lizzy McAlpine's album "Angel" during its first week of release in the U.S., focusing on pure album sales figures. The outcome depends on whether sales surpass various thresholds within the specified timeframe. Data will be sourced from Luminate's official reporting.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for pure album sales of Lizzy McAlpine's "Angel" during the tracking week from September 18, 2026, to September 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sales threshold—ranging from above 5,000 to above 30,000 units—and resolves to 'Yes' if the reported sales exceed that threshold. All markets are based on U.S. sales data provided by Luminate’s API, with results finalized at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday following the tracking week. Luminate serves as the neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse the market outcomes. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of the album achieving various levels of commercial success in its debut week.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a blend of public sentiment and trader expectations, which can diverge from expert predictions. While analysts may focus on historical data and marketing impact, traders in this market price in real-time reactions to news, social media trends, and early sales indicators. This creates a dynamic view that can either align with or contrast sharply with traditional forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the sales figures for the first week are verified against credible public sources. The final determination will rely on official sales data releases from recognized tracking services, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including early sales reports, social media buzz, media coverage, and any promotional events or controversies surrounding the album. Positive reviews or high pre-order numbers might push prices toward the higher sales outcome, while any negative press or underwhelming early indicators could cause rapid repricing toward the lower sales expectation.
