TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 25K
- Kalshi
Above 25K - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 27, 2026
Closed: Sep 27, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
Lizzy McAlpine's album "Angel" will be tracked for its first-week sales results. The music industry will watch to see if the album reaches various sales milestones, reflecting its commercial success and fan reception.
Kalshi
This event measures whether Lizzy McAlpine's album "Angel" achieves certain album equivalent unit sales thresholds in the U.S. within its first week of release, from September 18 to September 24, 2026. Resolution is based on Luminate’s API data reported at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate functions as a neutral metrics provider. Six markets correspond to incremental thresholds (above 15K, 20K, 25K, 30K, 35K, and 40K units), each resolving to Yes if the reported figure meets or exceeds its respective target.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd-driven speculation. Where analysts may focus on historical data and industry trends, prediction markets incorporate real-time betting sentiment. This can lead to notable differences, especially if new promotional events or controversies arise that shift public opinion ahead of the release.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the album’s first-week equivalent units are officially reported by recognized industry sources. The figure is verified against credible public data releases from music tracking organizations, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Key signals that could shift odds include major promotional events, such as high-profile performances or media appearances, unexpected leaks or controversies involving the artist, and early sales or streaming numbers that emerge before official reporting windows close. Any development that influences consumer anticipation or pre-release access may cause rapid price swings in this market.
