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Andorra vs. Malta
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Andorra vs. Malta?

Volume:
$1,310,725

Malta

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 3:55 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Malta

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$417,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Malta

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$369,723
N/A
N/A
$171,956
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Andorra

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179,672
N/A
N/A
$111,033
Settled
No
polymarket

Andorra

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136,302
N/A
N/A
$81,966
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Andorra vs. Malta)

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Andorra and Malta, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 42.5%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Malta winning is currently estimated at 34%. Resolution will be based on official UEFA statistics, with fallback sources defined by Polymarket. Keep an eye on September 24, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the match and will determine the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same 90-minute plus stoppage time timeframe and share consistent logic for postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics, with a clear hierarchy of fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting) defined by Polymarket.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • A win for Andorra/Malta resolves the respective market to 'Yes'.
  • A draw resolves the draw market to 'Yes'.
  • Cancellation of the match without a reschedule results in 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for the draw market.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the scheduled match time. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Andorra and Malta.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Andorra vs Malta UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for either Andorra or Malta occurs if that respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how each is determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, particularly when there's disagreement among bettors or access to unique information. These markets can also be less susceptible to biases that might influence sportsbook lines.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can occur due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and risk appetites, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can lead to variations in how traders value the same outcome. While both platforms are tracking the same event – the Andorra vs. Malta match – differing liquidity and market sentiment can result in distinct probabilities being reflected in the prices. These differences are normal and represent the independent assessment of traders on each venue.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams’ form and potential strategies could impact trader behavior. Major upsets in other qualifying matches or changes in the overall tournament landscape could also indirectly affect this market’s price action.