TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Anapolis and Maringa compete in a Brasileiro Serie C professional soccer match scheduled for July 12, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Anapolis vs Maringa Brasileiro Serie C match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration of extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Anapolis victory, Maringa victory, or a tie—resolves its respective market to Yes according to the match result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader positioning. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and prediction market participants disagree on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price, and the spread between bid and ask reflects current liquidity and disagreement among participants.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official final score and result as confirmed by relevant sporting authorities or widely recognized sports reporting. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments unfold. Resolution is automatic once the event outcome is confirmed and locked into the platform.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price moves in this market. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can shift trader positioning as the fixture approaches. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and motivational factors (league standings, cup implications) may also influence odds. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting syndicate activity can accelerate repricing. As kickoff nears, late-breaking tactical or personnel updates often create final volatility spikes.