TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match between Anapolis and Botafogo scheduled for July 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Anapolis vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. The match result is classified into three mutually exclusive outcomes: a win for Anapolis, a win for Botafogo, or a tie. If the match ends in a draw after regulation time, the Tie outcome resolves affirmatively. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away from the original July 5 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures rather than to any specific outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants without a house edge, which can lead to sharper, more efficient pricing than traditional betting lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from market consensus, though both sources provide valuable context for assessing probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability traders assign to that result at any given moment. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting action—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. This dynamic pricing model ensures the market stays responsive to real-world developments and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the final score and official match result as confirmed by authoritative sports sources. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on pre-match analysis, team form, and trader positioning. Early resolution is possible if the event is postponed or cancelled, in which case the platform will communicate any changes to the resolution timeline.
Key catalysts for price movement include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that affect competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can shift trader sentiment as the match approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting action from sharp bettors may also influence odds. Social media momentum, expert predictions, and late-breaking tactical information often trigger repricing in the final hours before kickoff, making this market highly responsive to new information.