TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the performance gap between two teams in an upcoming hockey game. It focuses on the margin of victory, determining whether one team wins by a substantial lead. The outcome hinges on the difference in goals scored rather than just who wins the match.
The event consists of four distinct markets, each evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either team’s victory in the Anaheim vs San Jose NHL game scheduled for September 24, 2026. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each primary rule specifies a unique winning condition—San Jose winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Anaheim winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals—and the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes' if that condition is met. These rules collectively provide layered assessments of potential score outcomes, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance by either team.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to cover the spread than sportsbooks indicate, the price will reflect that. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and weaknesses. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether Anaheim will cover the spread against San Jose. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts believing Anaheim will cover, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the event happening.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Anaheim vs San Jose game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Anaheim covers the spread as defined by the market conditions at the time of settlement. The final result will be determined by official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the event. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Anaheim or San Jose would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or alterations to game strategy could also play a role. Finally, broader factors like weather conditions or even public perception of team momentum could contribute to price movements in this market.