TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Ħamrun Spartans FC and NSÍ Runavík, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ħamrun Spartans FC" if Ħamrun Spartans FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NSÍ Runavík" if NSÍ Runavík are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Ħamrun Spartans FC and NSÍ Runavík, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ħamrun Spartans FC" if Ħamrun Spartans FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NSÍ Runavík" if NSÍ Runavík are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders on Polymarket have different conviction than the broader betting public. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value relative to conventional bookmaker pricing.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where each outcome's price reflects the cumulative buy and sell orders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The implied probability for each team to score first is derived from the current price, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As traders enter positions ahead of the match, prices adjust dynamically to reflect new information, injuries, lineup changes, or shifts in sentiment. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving conditions.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is officially recorded. The outcome is verified against credible public sources, including official match reports and sports data providers. Whichever team scores the opening goal determines the winning outcome. Early resolution is possible if one team scores before the other, and the result becomes immediately apparent from live match coverage and official confirmation.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's attacking threat. Managerial tactics or recent form trends may also influence perceived scoring likelihood. Weather conditions closer to kickoff could favor one team's style of play. Pre-match betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one outcome often signal informed conviction and trigger broader repricing. Any late-breaking developments regarding player availability or tactical adjustments will likely prompt rapid market movement as traders update their probability estimates.