TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Ħamrun Spartans FC and NSÍ Runavík, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Ħamrun Spartans FC and NSÍ Runavík, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may differ from sportsbook spreads or moneylines because traders here are pricing the exact final score rather than just the winner. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to sportsbook consensus can reveal where the crowd sees value or where specialized knowledge creates pricing gaps.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where supply and demand determine the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each possible scoreline is a separate contract, and the price of each reflects the collective assessment of traders who believe that result is more or less likely than the market currently prices it. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, prices adjust dynamically, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match between Ħamrun Spartans and NSÍ Runavík concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. Traders holding contracts matching the verified final score receive their payout, while all other exact score outcomes expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending confirmation from official match records.
Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can shift odds for specific scorelines. Pre-match analysis, betting syndicates' public positions, and social media sentiment may also influence trader confidence in certain outcomes. Live match events—early goals, red cards, or tactical shifts—will drive sharp repricing as the game unfolds and traders update their score expectations. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates closer to kickoff could also trigger meaningful moves in this market's pricing across different exact score outcomes.