TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between América FC and Londrina EC, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "América FC" if América FC score more goals than Londrina EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if América FC and Londrina EC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Londrina EC" if Londrina EC score more goals than América FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between América FC and Londrina EC, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "América FC" if América FC score more goals than Londrina EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if América FC and Londrina EC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Londrina EC" if Londrina EC score more goals than América FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability on this market to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue perceives an edge the other has missed. Sharper traders often exploit these gaps.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges—team lineups, weather, or momentum shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. This continuous price discovery means the market can quickly incorporate breaking news before the second half kicks off.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the second half of the América FC vs. Londrina match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and result during that half only—whether one team wins, the other wins, or the half ends in a draw. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing traders to settle positions promptly.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements released before kickoff, which can shift expectations about attacking or defensive strength. First-half performance is critical—if one side dominates early, traders may reprice the second-half outcome based on fatigue, momentum, or tactical adjustments at halftime. Weather changes, referee decisions, and red cards during the first half can also reshape probabilities. Late-breaking news about player availability or coaching changes may trigger sharp repricing in the final minutes before the second half begins.