TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for July 13 at 6:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for July 13 at 6:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are priced by traders expressing genuine beliefs about outcomes. This market may show higher or lower probabilities than traditional sportsbooks depending on where informed traders see value. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd on Polymarket is more or less confident than the betting market consensus.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares, with the current price reflecting the collective probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular outcome, the higher its price climbs; conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This continuous auction mechanism means odds adjust in real time as new information surfaces or trader sentiment shifts, creating a dynamic market that responds quickly to breaking news about team lineups, weather, or other match-relevant developments.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual match conclusion—whether that is a win, loss, or draw for the teams involved. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the final whistle, pending verification from established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and fairness to all traders.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter competitive balance. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form streaks can shift trader conviction significantly. Betting market movements, social media sentiment, and expert analysis may also influence prices as the match date approaches. Late-breaking developments—such as a player suspension or unexpected tactical shift—often trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess probabilities in real time.