TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between América FC and Criciúma EC, scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "América FC" if América FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between América FC and Criciúma EC, scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "América FC" if América FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets aggregate beliefs of many independent participants. For the América FC vs. Criciúma EC first-scorer market, Polymarket odds may move faster in response to breaking news, lineup changes, or injury reports than slower-moving sportsbook lines. Comparing the two venues reveals whether mainstream betting markets and decentralized traders agree on the likelihood of each outcome, offering insight into consensus strength.
On Polymarket, the América FC vs. Criciúma EC - First Team to Score market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market reflects the aggregate belief of Polymarket participants: América FC to score first, Criciúma EC to score first, or neither team to score first each have distinct price points. As traders deposit liquidity or place orders, prices adjust continuously. The outcome with the highest probability on Polymarket represents the crowd's strongest conviction about which team, if any, will break the deadlock first.
The market resolves on Jun 23, 2026, after the match concludes. Resolution is determined by which team scores the first goal during regular play. If neither team scores, that outcome wins. The market remains open for trading until the final whistle and official confirmation of the result. Once the first goal is scored or the match ends goalless, the winning outcome is locked in and traders' positions settle accordingly. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution deadline.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which affect offensive firepower and defensive stability. Tactical changes or manager decisions revealed before kickoff can shift expectations about attacking intent. Weather conditions on match day—rain, wind, or extreme heat—influence ball control and scoring likelihood. Early match momentum, possession patterns, and shot quality in the opening minutes typically drive the largest price swings. Red cards or injuries during play alter team balance. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can signal new information. Social media sentiment and analyst commentary may also influence retail trader behavior and move odds before the first goal is scored.