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América FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of América FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe?

Volume:
$149,990

America FC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 9:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

America FC

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,960
N/A
N/A
$49,751
Settled
Yes
polymarket

América FC

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,662
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nautico

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,748
N/A
N/A
$34,094
Settled
No
polymarket

Clube Náutico Capibaribe

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,647
N/A
N/A
$24,205
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (América FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between América FC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe scheduled for September 9, 2026. Markets exist for América FC winning, a draw, and Clube Náutico Capibaribe winning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' upon cancellation, while Kalshi lacks this specification.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi's outcome is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the official final result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Source: https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No specific mention of cancellation handling is provided, implying no resolution if the game does not occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 between América FC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe.

Kalshi

The event covers the results of a professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 9, 2026, between America FC and Nautico. The market resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for America FC, a win for Nautico, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance risk, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. This market's odds reflect real-time sentiment and information, potentially incorporating insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, and often prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying information and risk appetites, leading to distinct price formations. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $149,990 overall – can influence price stability and responsiveness to new information. These factors contribute to the observed differences in the probabilities assigned to outcomes for the América FC vs. Náutico Capibaribe match.