TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between América FC and Ceará SC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "América FC" if América FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between América FC and Ceará SC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "América FC" if América FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus—real money is at stake on both sides. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure to accuracy. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or weather that traders haven't yet priced in, creating temporary gaps worth monitoring.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), reflecting the collective probability estimate. As traders place orders, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand, ensuring the market continuously reflects the latest information and sentiment about which team scores first.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team legitimately scores the opening goal during regulation play. Resolution occurs after official confirmation, ensuring accuracy and preventing disputes over the final determination.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the match kicks off: team lineup announcements, injury updates to key attacking players, recent form and head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage dynamics, and late-breaking news about player availability can also trigger significant repricing. As the start time approaches, any official team sheets or surprise roster changes will likely prompt sharp trader reactions, moving this market in real time.