TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether AD Pasto will win their Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match against América de Cali on September 12, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of AD Pasto winning is 100.0%, based on data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by results reported at https://dimayor.com.co/. Be sure to monitor for any official announcements regarding the match schedule, as resolution will occur around September 15, 2026, following the conclusion of the betting period.
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between América de Cali and AD Pasto.
The event resolves based on the result of the America Cali vs Pasto professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for September 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If America Cali wins, the 'America Cali' market resolves to Yes. If Pasto wins, the 'Pasto' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to balance their book, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of the expected result of this market.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. These differences contribute to potentially varying probabilities for the same outcome in the América de Cali vs. Pasto match, even though both markets address the same event.