TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Kameron Marshall
- Kalshi
Kameron Marshall - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 19, 2026
Closed: Sep 17, 12:15 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether specific contestants are officially eliminated from America's Got Talent Season 21 before a set date. Elimination is determined through official announcements across various verified platforms. The outcome depends on the contestant's status as confirmed by the show's authorities.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if any listed contestant—Luke Taleno, Olivia Befus, Royal Lasers, or Hundred Fingers—is officially eliminated from America's Got Talent Season 21 before September 19, 2026. Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntarily withdrawing, disqualification, or producer removal. The declaration must be made through official program broadcasts, the show’s website, verified social media accounts, or press releases. Multiple simultaneous eliminations are counted, and an initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns. However, eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode, temporary suspensions, medical holds, or being runner-up in the finale do not count. If the season is canceled without any official eliminations declared, the event resolves to No. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect crowd-sourced expectations that can diverge from expert opinions. Analysts may emphasize performance quality or judges' feedback, while traders react to a broader set of signals, including social media buzz and viewer polls. This gap can highlight where public sentiment strongly favors or undermines a contestant.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the elimination is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final results will align with the official America’s Got Talent broadcast and its accompanying media coverage, ensuring an objective close to trading activity.
Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include standout performances, audience reaction on social media, and any surprise announcements from the show’s producers. Contestant health issues, technical difficulties during live broadcasts, or shifts in viewer demographics could also impact trading. As the semifinals near Sep 19, 2026, every act’s reception will be closely watched, with sudden swings possible after each episode’s live results show.
