TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Elsie
- Kalshi
Elsie - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 3, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks the elimination status of various contestants in a television talent competition during a specific season. Each market focuses on whether a particular contestant will be removed from the show before a set date, reflecting viewer interest in predicting contest outcomes.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified contestant is officially eliminated from America's Got Talent Season 21 before September 3, 2026. Elimination is defined to include being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal. The elimination must be declared through official program broadcasts, the show's website, verified social media channels, or press releases. Multiple simultaneous eliminations are counted, and an initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns. However, eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode, temporary suspensions, medical holds, or being a runner-up in the finale do not count. If the entire season is canceled without any eliminations being declared, all markets resolve to 'No.' The markets are independent of each other, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The elimination is determined by America’s Got Talent voting results during the Quarterfinal 3 broadcast, and the market settles based on the official airdate results rather than any pre-show speculation or rumor.
Key events such as live episode performances, judges’ critiques, and viewer voting results will heavily influence this market. Social media reactions and media coverage highlighting standout acts or controversies can rapidly shift trader sentiment. As the show progresses, any major upsets or unexpected eliminations may cause sharp price adjustments. Volume of $27,763 often spikes around these moments, reflecting heightened interest and uncertainty leading up to Sep 3, 2026.
