TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Brad and Tracy
- Kalshi
Brad and Tracy - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 27, 2026
Closed: Aug 26, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
These markets track whether specific contestants are eliminated from America's Got Talent Season 21 before a set date. Elimination is determined by official announcements across various verified channels. The outcome depends on the contestant's status as confirmed through the show's official platforms.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified contestant is officially eliminated from America's Got Talent Season 21 before August 27, 2026. Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal. The declaration must be made through official program broadcasts, the show's website, verified social media accounts, or official press releases. Multiple simultaneous eliminations are counted, and an initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns. Eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode do not count. Temporary suspensions, medical holds, or being runner-up in the finale are not considered eliminations. If the season is canceled without any eliminations being declared, all markets resolve to 'No.' The markets are independent of each other, meaning the elimination of one contestant does not affect the resolution of others.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of fan sentiment and expert insights. Analysts may highlight contestant performance trends or judge reactions, while traders price in real-time perceptions of elimination risk. Sometimes the market favors an underdog more strongly than analysts expect, especially when social media momentum builds. Monitoring both sources helps identify potential shifts in public opinion or betting patterns before they fully materialize in this market.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the second quarterfinal episode of America’s Got Talent Season 21 has aired and the elimination is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on what the show’s producers and officials announce as the eliminated act that week, ensuring transparency and alignment with the live broadcast outcome.
