TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of at least two goals. It specifically tracks the performance of both teams during the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring any events that occur in the second half. The outcome depends solely on the goal difference in the first half, making it a test of early-game strategy and execution.
The event determines whether either America or San Diego FC will win the first half of their Leagues Cup soccer match by more than a 1.5 goal margin. If America achieves this margin, the market resolves to Yes under the first rule; if San Diego FC does so, it also resolves to Yes under the second rule. Only goals scored in the first half count, and if the match is canceled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. No other conditions or outcomes are considered for resolution.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on the official match statistics — specifically whether America wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. No external judgments or interpretations are involved; the data speaks for itself once the game concludes.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and tactical announcements from coaches. High-profile media coverage or betting trends on other platforms may also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute roster changes or strategic shifts can cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting updated expectations about the first-half spread.