TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between America and Columbus, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins for both teams in a single soccer match played under Leagues Cup regulations. Four distinct outcome conditions are defined, each corresponding to a specific goal differential threshold: America must win by more than 2.5 goals, America must win by more than 1.5 goals, Columbus must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Columbus must win by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the score at the end of regulation time — 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee — and do not consider extra time or penalty shootout results. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, using publicly available match results as the sole determinant of outcomes.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment rather than set benchmarks. This market may show tighter or wider spreads depending on how participants assess team performance, injuries, and recent form. Traders can use these differences to spot potential value, as prediction markets price in real-time based on collective wisdom rather than static odds from sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic spread that adjusts with new information. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants about which team will win by a certain margin in regulation time. Volume of $330,563 and recent activity of $307,352 help gauge market confidence and liquidity around key shifts.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential at the end of regulation time will set the result, closing the market based on official game records. Traders should watch for confirmed scores from trusted sports news sources to anticipate when settlement will occur.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, and recent performance trends could shift this market as the game nears. Any last-minute roster changes or strategic updates may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the spread. Media reports and pre-game analyst forecasts often drive short-term volatility, so staying informed on breaking news is essential for tracking probable movements in the coming days.