TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Sao Bernardo will win the America FC vs Sao Bernardo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Sao Bernardo a 98.0% probability of winning, with a 2.0% probability of a tie. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 14, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market on the estimated resolution date of September 15, 2026.
The event resolves according to the outcome of the America FC vs Sao Bernardo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 14, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the designated team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Should the match conclude in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to exceed 48 hours from the original date, markets will resolve to a fair price. Only regular time results count, excluding any extra time or penalty determinations.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in risk appetite between prediction market participants and sportsbook operators. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each potential result in the America FC vs Sao Bernardo match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the America FC vs Sao Bernardo match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is available. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure a fair and accurate settlement of all contracts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, and even significant shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly as the match approaches.