TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in a professional soccer match between America FC and Athletic Club Sjdr. It evaluates different thresholds for how many goals each team must win by for the market to settle positively. The outcome depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event determines whether the market resolves to 'Yes' based on the margin of victory in the America FC vs Athletic Club Sjdr professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026. Four distinct primary rules define varying goal-differential thresholds for both teams: America FC must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while Athletic Club Sjdr must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If any of these specified conditions are met, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and detailed analysis. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, prediction markets allow for continuous adjustment as new information emerges, potentially offering tighter spreads and more accurate forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their bids and offers, which determines the current implied probability. The market’s price reflects the collective wisdom of participants as they assess team performance, injuries, and other relevant factors leading up to the match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments based on new data.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the match will determine which side of the market is settled, based on the official game results.